AlbinoLeffe 1-0 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
5.01
6+ Goals
8%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +28%
1.02/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.13
-21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
13.04.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
08.12.2023 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
04.10.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-2 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTCK
26.02.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-3 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
23.10.2022 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1-0
AWAY Renate
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe squeezed past Renate 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AlbinoLeffe as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 58% of the ball to Renate's 42%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 0.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Renate?

AlbinoLeffe 1-0 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 42%, draw 27%, Renate 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AlbinoLeffe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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