Renate 0-2 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.76
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.12/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.32
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
08.12.2023 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
04.10.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-2 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTCK
26.02.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-3 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
23.10.2022 Renate Renate 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
16.02.2022 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-2
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Renate vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe got the better of Renate 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; AlbinoLeffe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Renate had 57% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 43%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renate and 1.00 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Renate vs AlbinoLeffe?

Renate 0-2 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Renate 36%, draw 30%, AlbinoLeffe 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Renate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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