Gubbio 1-2 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.52
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.41/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.11
+21% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
28.03.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
26.11.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 3-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
15.04.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 2-2 HT 2-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
10.12.2022 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
1-2
AWAY Sassari Torres
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres squeezed past Gubbio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Sassari Torres made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gubbio had 56% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 44%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gubbio and 1.25 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Sassari Torres?

Gubbio 1-2 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 36%, draw 25%, Sassari Torres 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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