Taranto 2-2 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.72
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 43%
+15% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.09/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-2% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
12.11.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
2-2
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Taranto vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taranto and Sorrento Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Taranto had 43% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 57%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Taranto and 0.50 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of Taranto vs Sorrento Calcio?

Taranto 2-2 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sorrento Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Taranto 34%, draw 31%, Sorrento Calcio 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sorrento Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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