Pro Vercelli 3-2 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.29
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.34
6+ Goals
10%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.94/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.03
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lecco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2023 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
17.12.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
19.01.2022 Lecco Lecco 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
29.08.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
21.04.2021 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-3 HT 1-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
19.12.2020 Lecco Lecco 2-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
3-2
AWAY Lecco
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli edged past Lecco 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lecco at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 51% of the ball to Lecco's 49%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecco led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.00 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Lecco?

Pro Vercelli 3-2 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 32%, draw 27%, Lecco 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lecco), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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