Cruz Azul 2-1 Pachuca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 9 Feb 2025

Cruz Azul
2-1 HT 1-0
Pachuca
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Cruz Azul vs Pachuca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruz Azul v Pachuca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pachuca EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.75/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.62
-13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
19.5 Crosses 13.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cruz Azul vs Pachuca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pachuca
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.40
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 2-4 HT 2-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
14.01.2024 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 0-1 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
24.08.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
02.04.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
10.07.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 0-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
20.03.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 1-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK

Cruz Azul 2-1 Pachuca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
2-1
AWAY Pachuca
1.94 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 7
352 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs Pachuca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Pachuca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 58% of the ball to Pachuca's 42%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.94 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.17 for Pachuca.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?

Cruz Azul 2-1 Pachuca in the Mexico - Primera on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Pachuca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 47%, draw 26%, Pachuca 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✗ BTTS No
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