FC Juarez vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Juarez v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
FC Juarez vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
FC Juarez
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
3-0
HT 0-0
FC Juarez
MEK
FC Juarez 2-1 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
FC Juarez squeezed past Monterrey 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, FC Juarez had 38% of the ball to Monterrey's 62%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.33 to 1.81 — on chances, Monterrey could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Juarez and 2.67 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Monterrey?
FC Juarez 2-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 28%, draw 29%, Monterrey 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey), Under 2.5 went the other way.