Tigres UANL vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tigres UANL v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Tigres UANL vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Tigres UANL
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
MEK
2-0
HT 2-0
Atlas
MEK
4-2
HT 0-1
Atlas
MEK
Tigres UANL 2-1 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL squeezed past Atlas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tigres UANL had 55% of the ball to Atlas's 45%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.30 to 1.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.00 for Atlas.
What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Atlas?
Tigres UANL 2-1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 51%, draw 29%, Atlas 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.