Atlas 1-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 Jul 2024

Atlas
1-1 HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Atlas vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlas v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 53%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
1.10/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.05
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +49%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.0 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atlas vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
228 Passes 410
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
18.09.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
19.02.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
24.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
22.05.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-2 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
19.05.2022 Atlas Atlas 3-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK

Atlas 1-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
1-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.58 xG 1.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas and Tigres UANL couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Atlas had 44% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atlas and 1.33 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Tigres UANL?

Atlas 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atlas 29%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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