Club America 3-1 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +25%
1.86/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.62
+13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.5 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Queretaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.35 xG 0.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
441 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
21.09.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
08.01.2023 Club America Club America 0-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
24.08.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
02.03.2022 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
23.07.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
3-1
AWAY Queretaro
2.27 xG 0.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 5
494 Passes 308
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America got the better of Queretaro 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club America had 59% of the ball to Queretaro's 41%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.27 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club America and 0.33 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Club America vs Queretaro?

Club America 3-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Club America 55%, draw 22%, Queretaro 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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