Mazatlan 2-2 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.36/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.61
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.7 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.81 xG 1.44
50% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
313 Passes 318
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
23.09.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 3-2 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
03.04.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
23.07.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.04.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-0 HT 0-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
28.08.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-2
AWAY Atletico San Luis
3.70 xG 1.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
357 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan and Atletico San Luis couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mazatlan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mazatlan had 53% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 47%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.70 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mazatlan and 1.67 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Atletico San Luis?

Mazatlan 2-2 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 47%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mazatlan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
13 Jul 2024
04:00 Club America vs Queretaro Analysis →
06:00 Tijuana vs Guadalajara Analysis →
06:05 Atlas vs Tigres UANL Analysis →