Boluspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.75
Over
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.99
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.97
6+
8%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.17
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
14%
6.38
X/X
10%
4.43
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
4.75
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +32%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.18
-14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.4 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.96 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
321 Passes 347
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 1-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
03.02.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
02.09.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
19.03.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
08.10.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
12.02.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-1
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.24 xG 1.16
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
548 Passes 202
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor and Keçiörengücü couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boluspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Boluspor had 69% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 31%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.24 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boluspor and 0.67 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Boluspor 1-1 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 44%, draw 24%, Keçiörengücü 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Boluspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boluspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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