İstanbulspor 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

İstanbulspor
1-0 HT 0-0
MKE Ankaragücü
📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.91
Over
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.54
2-3
41%
1.83
4-5
23%
3.44
6+
10%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.09
1/2
4%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
18%
5.09
X/2
13%
6.57
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1 ✗
8%
24.7
2/2
15%
4.56
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v MKE Ankaragücü — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.70/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.30
+15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.8 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

İstanbulspor vs MKE Ankaragücü Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
319 Passes 330
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
02.03.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
22.10.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-1 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
08.04.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-2 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
08.10.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-2 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
12.02.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L

İstanbulspor 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-0
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.68 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
398 Passes 298
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor nicked a narrow win over MKE Ankaragücü 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 55% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 45%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.68 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.50 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

İstanbulspor 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 42%, draw 25%, MKE Ankaragücü 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ BTTS Yes
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