Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-1
Ümraniyespor
TSL
1-3
HT 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
1-1
HT 1-1
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
2-3
HT 1-0
Ümraniyespor
T1L
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük squeezed past Ümraniyespor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 55% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 45%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.26 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.67 for Ümraniyespor.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor?
Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 47%, draw 28%, Ümraniyespor 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.