Bandırmaspor 3-2 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No Pick
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.24
2-3
40%
1.8
4-5
23%
3.69
6+
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
12%
4.11
X/2
10%
9.54
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
10%
7.88
2/X
8%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -22%
1.49/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.40
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
17.1 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
299 Passes 192
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-2 HT 2-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
14.04.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
25.11.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
30.11.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 5-0 HT 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor TÜK
17.03.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-K
27.10.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
3-2
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
2.81 xG 0.80
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
451 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
38 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over Şanlıurfaspor 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 64% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.81 to 0.80 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bandırmaspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Şanlıurfaspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.50 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Bandırmaspor 3-2 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 48%, draw 26%, Şanlıurfaspor 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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