Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Once Caldas
KOL
0-3
HT 0-2
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera and Once Caldas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 50% of the ball to Once Caldas's 50%, shots finished 14-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.50 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas?
Alianza Petrolera 1-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 09/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 37%, draw 28%, Once Caldas 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), BTTS No went the other way.