Bath City 0-2 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 31% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.68/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.85
+9% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Farnborough
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
28.01.2023 Bath City Bath City 0-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
27.08.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
17.02.2015 Bath City Bath City 7-4 HT 5-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
0-2
AWAY Farnborough
59% Ball Possession 41%
3 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farnborough got the better of Bath City 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bath City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bath City had 59% of the ball to Farnborough's 41%, shots finished 3-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bath City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bath City and 1.75 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Farnborough?

Bath City 0-2 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bath City 43%, draw 25%, Farnborough 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bath City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bath City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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