Truro City 1-4 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 48%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.45/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.15
+10% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chelmsford City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City cruised past Truro City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Chelmsford City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Chelmsford City?

Truro City 1-4 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Truro City 32%, draw 29%, Chelmsford City 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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