Mönchengladbach 3-3 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

Mönchengladbach
3-3 HT 1-1
Köln
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Mönchengladbach vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.44
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.4
X/1
11%
4.09
X/2
7%
8.24
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
8%
6.46
2/X
8%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
2.18/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.84
+24% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
17.5 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Mönchengladbach vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Köln
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.16 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
413 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Köln Köln 3-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
02.04.2023 Köln Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
09.10.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 5-2 HT 2-1 Köln Köln AL1
16.04.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-3 HT 0-3 Köln Köln AL1
27.11.2021 Köln Köln 4-1 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
06.02.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL1

Mönchengladbach 3-3 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
3-3
AWAY Köln
1.81 xG 0.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
420 Passes 277
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach and Köln shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mönchengladbach at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 58% of the ball to Köln's 42%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.81 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mönchengladbach and 2.33 for Köln.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Köln?

Mönchengladbach 3-3 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 51%, draw 26%, Köln 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mönchengladbach), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mönchengladbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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