RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.05
2-3 Goals
43%
2.32
4-5 Goals
23%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.23
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
25%
3.6
X/2
6%
34.5
X/X
8%
12.85
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
5%
27.5
2/X
6%
31.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-13.9pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.6pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
2.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.96
-17% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -22%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
490 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.4 Crosses 10.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.93 xG 2.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 188
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
26 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.10.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-3 HT 1-2 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
01.04.2017 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
29.10.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
24.04.2015 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
08.11.2014 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL2
19.04.2014 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
2-0
AWAY Darmstadt 98
64% Ball Possession 36%
29 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
563 Passes 286
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig got the better of Darmstadt 98 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 64% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 36%, shots finished 29-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.50 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Darmstadt 98?

RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 66%, draw 19%, Darmstadt 98 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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