Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

Borussia Dortmund II
0-2 HT 0-2
Arminia Bielefeld
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Borussia Dortmund II vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
7%
6.77
X/2
16%
4.9
X/X
14%
5.4
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
17%
2.85
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Borussia Dortmund II v Arminia Bielefeld — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.46/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.46
+14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +143%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5

Borussia Dortmund II vs Arminia Bielefeld Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
07.03.2015 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
13.09.2014 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 HT 2-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
08.12.2012 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 4-2 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
28.07.2012 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3

Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
0-2
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld beat Borussia Dortmund II 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Arminia Bielefeld found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 45% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 55%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 2.20 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Borussia Dortmund II 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 31%, draw 29%, Arminia Bielefeld 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
9 Mar 2024
16:00 Saarbrücken vs Erzgebirge Aue Analysis →
16:00 Jahn Regensburg vs Ingolstadt Analysis →
16:00 Viktoria Köln vs Waldhof Mannheim Analysis →
16:00 Freiburg II vs Lübeck Analysis →
18:30 Preussen Münster vs Hallescher FC Analysis →