Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

Jahn Regensburg
1-1 HT 0-1
Ingolstadt
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Jahn Regensburg vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.52
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
11%
5.5
X/2
7%
5.78
X/X
9%
4.84
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
20%
3.77
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.37/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.47
-8% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
– Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jahn Regensburg vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ingolstadt
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.63 xG 0.92
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 Passes 238
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-4 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
08.04.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
31.10.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 0-3 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
22.12.2018 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
04.08.2018 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2
26.01.2018 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-2 HT 0-2 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL2

Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg and Ingolstadt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jahn Regensburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 57% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 43%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 1.17 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Ingolstadt?

Jahn Regensburg 1-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 42%, draw 24%, Ingolstadt 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jahn Regensburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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