Preussen Münster 1-0 Hallescher FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.45
X/2
9%
8.21
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
10%
5.64
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hallescher FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
2.03/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.58
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.6 Crosses 25.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hallescher FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-4 HT 0-3 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
31.05.2020 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 4-2 HT 3-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
21.09.2019 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
04.05.2019 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
01.12.2018 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-2 HT 0-2 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
22.04.2018 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 1-2 HT 1-1 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
1-0
AWAY Hallescher FC
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Hallescher FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster edged past Hallescher FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Preussen Münster as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 63% of the ball to Hallescher FC's 37%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preussen Münster had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.67 for Hallescher FC.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Hallescher FC?

Preussen Münster 1-0 Hallescher FC in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Hallescher FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 50%, draw 26%, Hallescher FC 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preussen Münster) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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