Zürich 1-3 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.07
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
14%
6.24
X/2
11%
5.49
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 11% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.15/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.34
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
17.6 Crosses 21.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.47
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
310 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Servette Servette 1-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
27.10.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-3 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
15.05.2024 Zürich Zürich 2-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
06.04.2024 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
04.11.2023 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
29.07.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
1-3
AWAY Servette
1.32 xG 1.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
359 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette beat Zürich 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Servette made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zürich had 62% of the ball to Servette's 38%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.32 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zürich and 1.50 for Servette.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Servette?

Zürich 1-3 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zürich 40%, draw 24%, Servette 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zürich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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