Willem II 2-3 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.81
No
41%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2.94
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.53
1/2 EV+ ✓
12%
26.0
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
7%
7.25
X/2
11%
4.68
X/X
16%
4.45
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.81
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 12% vs market 1.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.5pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.25
+12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
21.9 Crosses 19.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Utrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.18 xG 1.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 367
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 3-2 HT 2-2 Willem II Willem II HOL
15.05.2022 Willem II Willem II 3-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
31.10.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 5-1 HT 2-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
01.05.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 3-2 HT 2-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
19.02.2021 Willem II Willem II 0-6 HT 0-3 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
16.02.2020 Willem II Willem II 1-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
2-3
AWAY Utrecht
1.31 xG 1.54
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
181 Passes 377
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 36
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht squeezed past Willem II 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Willem II had 36% of the ball to Utrecht's 64%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.31 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Willem II and 3.00 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Utrecht?

Willem II 2-3 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Willem II 24%, draw 30%, Utrecht 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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