Twente vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Twente v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
Twente vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
1-3
HT 0-2
Twente
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Almere City
HOL2
Twente 1-0 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
Twente squeezed past Almere City 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Twente had 52% of the ball to Almere City's 48%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.81 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Twente's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Twente and 0.60 for Almere City.
What was the final score of Twente vs Almere City?
Twente 1-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Twente vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Twente 59%, draw 22%, Almere City 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.