PEC Zwolle 0-1 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.94
1/2
6%
21.7
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
8%
11.05
X/2
17%
4.08
X/X
9%
5.69
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
31%
1.95
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.30/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.20
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.4
15.8 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajax
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 1.84
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
320 Passes 540
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Ajax Ajax 2-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
05.07.2024 Ajax Ajax 0-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HAZ
31.03.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3 HT 0-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
17.12.2023 Ajax Ajax 2-2 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
30.04.2022 Ajax Ajax 3-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
11.09.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-1 Ajax Ajax HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
0-1
AWAY Ajax
0.76 xG 2.90
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
305 Passes 438
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ PEC Zwolle vs Ajax
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Ajax edged past PEC Zwolle 1-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 9 Mar 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 44% of the ball to Ajax's 56%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.76 to 2.90.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PEC Zwolle and 2.00 for Ajax.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

PEC Zwolle 0-1 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 22%, draw 23%, Ajax 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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