Ujpest 1-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.62/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.13
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
19.3 Crosses 24.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.26 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
327 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
28.07.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
08.03.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
11.11.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.08.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-3 HT 3-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
19.03.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
1-1
AWAY Puskas FC
1.37 xG 0.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
330 Passes 223
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and Puskas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Ujpest had 58% of the ball to Puskas FC's 42%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ujpest and 2.17 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Puskas FC?

Ujpest 1-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 26%, draw 25%, Puskas FC 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Puskas FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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