Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 51%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.09/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.88
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Libertad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 0.49
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
135 Passes 507
57% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
07.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-2 HT 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
21.04.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
30.01.2024 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
03.12.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PARK
03.11.2023 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Trinidense
1-1
AWAY Libertad
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense and Libertad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Sportivo Trinidense had 43% of the ball to Libertad's 57%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Trinidense and 1.50 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad?

Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Trinidense 29%, draw 27%, Libertad 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Libertad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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