ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 33%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.11
-37% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tolmin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.08.2024 Tolmin Tolmin 1-1 HT 1-0 ND Slovan Ljubljana SLVN2
POST-MATCH ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Slovan Ljubljana and Tolmin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was ND Slovan Ljubljana at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Tolmin?

ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-1 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a ND Slovan Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ND Slovan Ljubljana 43%, draw 30%, Tolmin 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ND Slovan Ljubljana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ND Slovan Ljubljana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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