Bistrica 1-0 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
52%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
52%
Away Win
45%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 49%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.88/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.63
-29% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +82%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gorica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Gorica Gorica 3-1 HT 2-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
30.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 1-5 HT 1-2 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
15.09.2023 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica squeezed past Gorica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bistrica and 3.00 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Gorica?

Bistrica 1-0 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 27%, draw 22%, Gorica 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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