Tabor Sezana 3-2 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
21%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.1pp
21%
Away Win
29%
-8.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tabor Sezana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.01
+150% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +49%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tabor Sezana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aluminij
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.08.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-2 HT 0-1 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN2
21.05.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 2-2 HT 1-1 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
13.03.2022 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 1-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
27.11.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 3-2 HT 2-2 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
19.09.2021 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana 4-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
25.04.2021 Aluminij Aluminij 0-2 HT 0-2 Tabor Sezana Tabor Sezana SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tabor Sezana
3-2
AWAY Aluminij
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tabor Sezana vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tabor Sezana squeezed past Aluminij 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tabor Sezana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tabor Sezana had 34% of the ball to Aluminij's 66%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tabor Sezana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Tabor Sezana and 1.17 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Tabor Sezana vs Aluminij?

Tabor Sezana 3-2 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tabor Sezana vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tabor Sezana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tabor Sezana 46%, draw 34%, Aluminij 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tabor Sezana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tabor Sezana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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