Triglav 0-1 Beltinci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Beltinci EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.63/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.76
+6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Beltinci
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 Beltinci Beltinci 4-0 HT 2-0 Triglav Triglav SLVNK
23.08.2024 Beltinci Beltinci 1-3 HT 1-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
18.11.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 0-1 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
25.10.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 1-2 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
03.05.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 1-2 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
23.10.2022 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Beltinci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beltinci squeezed past Triglav 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Triglav at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triglav had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Triglav and 1.50 for Beltinci.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Beltinci?

Triglav 0-1 Beltinci in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Beltinci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Triglav 41%, draw 25%, Beltinci 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Triglav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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