Levski Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
70%
-1.0pp
17%
Draw
19%
-1.4pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Sofia EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
2.38/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.77
+22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Sofia
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.09.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
04.12.2024 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
02.08.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
18.05.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 1-2 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
02.12.2023 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
06.08.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-1 HT 2-1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Levski Sofia as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levski Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Levski Sofia and 0.83 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Levski Sofia 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Levski Sofia 69%, draw 17%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Sofia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Sofia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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