AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.59
Over Pick
62%
1.5
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.4
No
38%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
20%
5.43
2-3
36%
1.98
4-5
29%
2.48
6+
15%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.39
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
12%
4.93
X/2
8%
8.22
X/X
7%
6.28
2/1
11%
19.4
2/2
15%
5.22
2/X
8%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME AZ Alkmaar II The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen The Market 30%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.67 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.99
1.47 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.52
Average Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
12.3 Crosses 16.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Emmen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
306 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 28
7 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2025 Emmen Emmen 4-2 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
18.04.2025 Emmen Emmen 1-4 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
13.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
08.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
08.04.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2-3
AWAY Emmen
1.59 xG 2.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
325 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Emmen nicked a narrow win over AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We leaned AZ Alkmaar II at 49% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) landed.

On the day, Emmen saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.59 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for AZ Alkmaar II against 2.17 for Emmen.

AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen Result & Final Score

AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AZ Alkmaar II vs Emmen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 49%, draw 21%, Emmen 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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