Emmen 4-2 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.51
Over
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.48
No
38%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.14
2-3
35%
1.96
4-5
27%
2.6
6+
16%
6.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.36
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
18%
4.84
X/2
12%
8.7
X/X
10%
6.3
2/1
11%
19.95
2/2
14%
5.77
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Emmen The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II The Market 29%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.54 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.27
1.10 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.36
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
23.0 Crosses 10.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
388 Passes 325
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Emmen Emmen 1-4 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
13.12.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
08.04.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
27.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
08.04.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
22.11.2021 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
4-2
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
3.23 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 211
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Emmen vs AZ Alkmaar II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Emmen took care of AZ Alkmaar II 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Emmen had 60% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 40%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 3.23 to 0.58.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Emmen and 1.50 for AZ Alkmaar II.

Emmen vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score

Emmen 4-2 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Emmen vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Emmen 45%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar II 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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