Dordrecht 1-2 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Nov 2025

📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.38
Over Pick
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.48
No
43%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.79
2-3
40%
1.92
4-5
25%
2.67
6+
13%
6.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.62
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.03
X/2
9%
7.69
X/X
12%
6.05
2/1
10%
20.85
2/2
15%
5.01
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Dordrecht The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II The Market 32%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.81 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.20
1.07 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.22
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.6 Crosses 16.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
25.10.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
10.05.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.09.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 0-2 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
16.01.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
19.08.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
1-2
AWAY Utrecht II
0.95 xG 0.82
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
335 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Dordrecht vs Utrecht II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Utrecht II edged past Dordrecht 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

A gentle 46% lean on Dordrecht didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.92, ~52%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 52% to 48% in Dordrecht's favour, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.95 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Dordrecht against 1.17 for Utrecht II.

Dordrecht vs Utrecht II Result & Final Score

Dordrecht 1-2 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dordrecht vs Utrecht II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 46%, draw 24%, Utrecht II 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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