Utrecht II 1-0 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
51%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
19.25
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
9%
9.77
X/2
16%
4.62
X/X
12%
6.64
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.13
2/X
5%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.25 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 59%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.26/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.11
-29% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.1
14.5 Crosses 38.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.20 xG 1.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
335 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
10.05.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
15.09.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 0-2 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
16.01.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
19.08.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
21.01.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-4 HT 0-3 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
1-0
AWAY Dordrecht
0.61 xG 1.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
264 Passes 377
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Utrecht II vs Dordrecht
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Utrecht II edged past Dordrecht 1-0 in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 2 May 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 42% of the ball to Dordrecht's 58%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.61 to 1.04.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utrecht II and 2.33 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Dordrecht?

Utrecht II 1-0 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 25%, draw 24%, Dordrecht 51%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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