Emmen 2-1 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 May 2025

Emmen
2-1 HT 1-0
VVV-Venlo
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Emmen vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 25% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.16
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.41
X/2
7%
9.59
X/X
15%
6.23
2/1
10%
20.25
2/2
10%
6.98
2/X
8%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 25%
-22% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.32/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.79
-27% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.0 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Emmen vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.89 xG 0.91
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
440 Passes 273
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
08.03.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.08.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-2 HT 1-2 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.01.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-3 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOK
19.03.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
29.10.2021 Emmen Emmen 1-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2

Emmen 2-1 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-1
AWAY VVV-Venlo
2.22 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
273 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen edged past VVV-Venlo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Emmen had 50% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 50%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.22 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Emmen and 1.00 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Emmen vs VVV-Venlo?

Emmen 2-1 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Emmen 48%, draw 28%, VVV-Venlo 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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