MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Ajax II
HOL2
4-2
HT 2-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
4-1
HT 2-0
Ajax II
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ajax II
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 1-0 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht squeezed past Ajax II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 48% of the ball to Ajax II's 52%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.33 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.50 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II?
MVV Maastricht 1-0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 44%, draw 22%, Ajax II 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.