MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MVV Maastricht v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
MVV Maastricht 1-0 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht squeezed past Ajax II 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (67%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, MVV Maastricht had 48% of the ball to Ajax II's 52%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.33 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.50 for Ajax II.
MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II Result & Final Score
MVV Maastricht 1 - 0 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
MVV Maastricht vs Ajax II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 44%, draw 23%, Ajax II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.