FC Eindhoven 2-4 AZ Alkmaar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
15%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.34
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
10%
5.83
X/2
16%
6.39
X/X
9%
5.64
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
13%
3.85
2/X
5%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.51/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.39
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.7 Crosses 9.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
3W-3D-0L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.88 xG 0.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 Passes 498
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
01.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
15.09.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
17.03.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
26.08.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
25.02.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
2-4
AWAY AZ Alkmaar II
0.76 xG 2.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
289 Passes 489
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 44
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FC Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar II
Match summary & frequently asked questions

AZ Alkmaar II beat FC Eindhoven 4-2 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 2 May 2025. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 39% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 61%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.76 to 2.68.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Eindhoven and 0.83 for AZ Alkmaar II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar II?

FC Eindhoven 2-4 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 41%, draw 23%, AZ Alkmaar II 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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