Volendam 3-2 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.18
2-3 Goals
35%
2.09
4-5 Goals
30%
2.44
6+ Goals
15%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.3
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.96
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
10%
6.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
18.9
2/2
9%
5.65
2/X
9%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.9 — our 14% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.7pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.77/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.55
+18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.4 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Roda
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 1.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2024 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
07.02.2022 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
13.09.2021 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
06.03.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-4 HT 2-1 Roda Roda HOL2
04.10.2020 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
24.01.2020 Roda Roda 2-3 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
3-2
AWAY Roda
2.34 xG 1.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
391 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam nicked a narrow win over Roda 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 54% of the ball to Roda's 46%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.34 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Volendam and 1.83 for Roda.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Roda?

Volendam 3-2 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Volendam 52%, draw 25%, Roda 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volendam) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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