AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.8
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
18%
5.0
X/2
10%
7.1
X/X
12%
5.3
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
18%
4.58
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.60/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.01
+13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
10.3 Crosses 18.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.54 xG 1.79
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
480 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-1 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
15.09.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
17.03.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
26.08.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
25.02.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
26.11.2021 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2-3
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.06 xG 2.40
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
586 Passes 192
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ AZ Alkmaar II vs FC Eindhoven
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Eindhoven edged past AZ Alkmaar II 3-2 away from home in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 4 Oct 2024. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 71% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 29%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.06 to 2.40.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.17 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs FC Eindhoven?

AZ Alkmaar II 2-3 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 42%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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