Birmingham City U21 1-4 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
11%
5.71
Away
73%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
25%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.9pp
11%
Draw
15%
-3.8pp
73%
Away Win
74%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 78%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.32/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/0.78
+28% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +40%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
231 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.4 Crosses 23.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham City U21
1-4
AWAY Chelsea U21
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 6
136 Passes 558
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Birmingham City U21 vs Chelsea U21
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chelsea U21 ran out comfortable winners over Birmingham City U21 4-1 away from home in the INGPL2 on 9 Mar 2026. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 63% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Birmingham City U21 had 25% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 75%, shots finished 5-23.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Birmingham City U21 1-4 Chelsea U21 in the INGPL2 on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 16%, draw 11%, Chelsea U21 73%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
9 Mar 2026
22:00 Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21 Analysis →
22:00 Leicester City U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Analysis →
22:00 Reading U21 vs Everton U21 Analysis →
22:00 Sunderland U21 vs Leeds United U21 Analysis →