Leicester City U21 2-2 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.7pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.81/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.16
+32% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +85%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Newcastle United U21
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
296 Passes 381
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 3-6 HT 1-2 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 INGPL2
08.01.2024 Leicester City U21 Leicester City U21 2-2 HT 1-1 Newcastle United U21 Newcastle United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City U21
2-2
AWAY Newcastle United U21
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
372 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leicester City U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City U21 and Newcastle United U21 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City U21 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Leicester City U21 had 59% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 41%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leicester City U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Leicester City U21 and 2.50 for Newcastle United U21.

What was the final score of Leicester City U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Leicester City U21 2-2 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Leicester City U21 45%, draw 26%, Newcastle United U21 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leicester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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