Stoke City U21 1-3 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.2pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
1-3
AWAY Burnley U21
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 12
220 Passes 378
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Burnley U21 beat Stoke City U21 3-1 away from home in the INGPL2 on 9 Mar 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 40% of the ball to Burnley U21's 60%, shots finished 3-23.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Stoke City U21 1-3 Burnley U21 in the INGPL2 on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Burnley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 32%, draw 23%, Burnley U21 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burnley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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