Sunderland U21 5-2 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.64
Draw
14%
4.34
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
3%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
57%
+4.7pp
15%
Draw
20%
-5.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.6pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.38/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.01
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +112%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leeds United U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.83 xG 0.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
298 Passes 367
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.03.2025 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 INGPL2
29.01.2024 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 1-3 HT 0-3 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
5-2
AWAY Leeds United U21
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 6
264 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 ran out comfortable winners over Leeds United U21 5-2. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sunderland U21 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 47% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 53%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sunderland U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sunderland U21 and 0.50 for Leeds United U21.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Sunderland U21 5-2 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 62%, draw 15%, Leeds United U21 24%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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