Dartford 1-2 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over Pick
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.45
2-3
42%
2.0
4-5
25%
2.67
6+
10%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dartford EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 53%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -16%
1.77/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.61
+44% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dartford
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Worthing
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-4 HT 1-3 Dartford Dartford İCON
28.01.2023 Worthing Worthing 3-0 HT 2-0 Dartford Dartford İCON
27.08.2022 Dartford Dartford 1-2 HT 1-0 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dartford
1-2
AWAY Worthing
30% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dartford vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing nicked a narrow win over Dartford 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dartford had 30% of the ball to Worthing's 70%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dartford and 2.67 for Worthing.

What was the final score of Dartford vs Worthing?

Dartford 1-2 Worthing in the England - Conference on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dartford vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dartford 26%, draw 25%, Worthing 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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