Hayes & Yeading 1-0 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Apr 2024

Hayes & Yeading
1-0
Basingstoke Town
📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Hayes & Yeading vs Basingstoke Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.5
No
57%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.2pp
57%
BTTS No
38%
+19.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hayes & Yeading v Basingstoke Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hayes & Yeading EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.36/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.63
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hayes & Yeading vs Basingstoke Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hayes & Yeading
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15 Total Shots 11
– Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
The Meetings
24.10.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading İNGNLP
03.04.2014 Hayes & Yeading Hayes & Yeading 0-0 HT 0-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İCON
POST-MATCH Hayes & Yeading vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hayes & Yeading squeezed past Basingstoke Town 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hayes & Yeading had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hayes & Yeading and 0.00 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Hayes & Yeading vs Basingstoke Town?

Hayes & Yeading 1-0 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hayes & Yeading vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hayes & Yeading 35%, draw 22%, Basingstoke Town 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
9 Apr 2024
21:45 Stourbridge vs Leamington Analysis →
21:45 Tiverton Town vs Gosport Borough Analysis →
21:45 Kettering Town vs Leiston Analysis →
21:45 Needham Market vs Stamford Analysis →
21:45 Plymouth Parkway vs Harrow Borough Analysis →
21:45 Sholing vs Dorchester Town Analysis →