Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 9 Apr 2025

📅09/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.00/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-11% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -71%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
28.09.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
23.05.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
24.02.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.08.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-1 HT 1-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
15.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
0-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna and CSKA Sofia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 41% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 59%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.67 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - Cup on 09/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 25%, draw 30%, CSKA Sofia 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →